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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Polyrank consensus vs market

12%
Polyrank (smart-money weighted)
8%
Market mid
+5 pts
Smart money more bullish on YES
24h volume
$30.6K
24h fills
111
Positioners
34
Smart money
590

Top holders

  • gu…42YES469,478
  • En…23NO78,014
  • an…23YES221,000
  • fo…22NO59,950
  • 95…04NO60,000

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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — smart-money consensus & holders · Polyrank