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Question

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$499.4K
146

Trading opened Oct 16, 2025 22:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 → all 71 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
10.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
305
Smart money
89

Top holders

  • Th…MANo276,827
  • Ed…57Yes1,628,202
  • A…nNo147,380
  • s…tNo144,507
  • gu…42Yes484,013

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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank