Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of November?
Live
- $22.3K
- $24.2K
- 13
- $55.1K
- $198.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $14092.8%
- $15089.3%
- $16082.5%
- $17075.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
13 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 92.8 %
$140
Yes 92.8¢No 7.2¢ - 89.3 %
$150
$146.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.3¢No 10.7¢ - 82.5 %
$160
$359.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢ - 75.0 %
$170
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢ - 62.0 %
$180
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢ - 44.5 %
$190
$2.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢ - 32.0 %
$200
$6.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢ - 16.5 %
$210
$8.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢ - 12.5 %
$220
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 7.0 %
$230
$8.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢
Event facts
- Category
- Stocks · Nvidia (NVDA)
- Series
- Nvidia Multi Strikes Monthly · monthly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 13 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 167
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 60,904 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
This event has 13 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 30, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2026 18:26 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.