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Stocks · IPOsOpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Live

$16.6K
$863.8K
13
$120.2K
$275.8K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • No IPO by December 31, 202694.7%
  • 1.5T+1.2%
  • <500B0.9%
  • 750B–1T0.6%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Stocks · IPOs
Series
OpenAI IPO
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
No trading fee
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter v3
Questions
7 open
Fills, last 24 h
17
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
21,213 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

This event has 7 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 15:40 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.