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Stocks · IPOsOpenAI IPO

Question

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Live

Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$1.00
2

Trading opened Sep 23, 2025 00:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.9 %chance
  • Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • Co…anNo2,419
  • Ho…ssNo1,925
  • Bi…ggNo1,258
  • ci…esNo1,137
  • Pr…erNo999.9

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Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank