Paraguay Presidential Election Winner
Live
- $5.8K
- $6.8K
- 63
- $2.7K
- $46.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Raúl Latorre18.0%
- Basilio Núñez17.5%
- Miguel Prieto17.5%
- Pedro Alliana11.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 open · 27 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 18.0 %
Raúl Latorre
$390.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢ - 17.5 %
Miguel Prieto
$810.42 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 17.5 %
Basilio Núñez
$285.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 11.5 %
Pedro Alliana
$922.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 11.5 %
Ricardo Estigarribia
$384.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 7.5 %
Arnoldo Wiens
$284.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 6.5 %
Eduardo Nakayama
$266.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 5.1 %
Juan Carlos Baruja
$385.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - < 1 %
Celeste Amarilla
$429.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Alberto Martínez Simón
$249.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
27 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Person A
- No quote now
Person B
- No quote now
Person C
- No quote now
Person D
- No quote now
Person E
- No quote now
Person F
- No quote now
Person G
- No quote now
Person H
- No quote now
Person I
- No quote now
Person J
- No quote now
Person K
- No quote now
Person L
- No quote now
Person M
- No quote now
Person N
- No quote now
Person O
- No quote now
Person P
- No quote now
Person Q
- No quote now
Person R
- No quote now
Person S
- No quote now
Person T
- No quote now
Person U
- No quote now
Person V
- No quote now
Person W
- No quote now
Person X
- No quote now
Person Y
- No quote now
Person Z
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 15 open · 27 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 256
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,994 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).
This event has 42 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against tsje.gov.py. Open the source
It can settle from May 1, 2028 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 7, 2026 07:37 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.