SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
Live
- $4.4K
- $13.2K
- 37
- $13.2K
- $5.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- November 30, 202687.5%
- Super Heavy booster explodes?62.5%
- November 15, 202650.0%
- Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?48.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
7 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 87.5 %
November 30, 2026
$115.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢ - 62.5 %
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$26.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢ - 50.0 %
November 15, 2026
$324.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢ - 48.5 %
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$177.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢ - 35.5 %
Successful splash down?
$246.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢ - 29.0 %
Chopsticks catch Starship?
$123.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢ - 5.3 %
October 31, 2026
$3.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.3¢No 94.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · Space
- Series
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 7 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 81
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 6,063 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15.
This event has 7 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 23:11 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.