Tech · SpaceSpaceX Starship Flight Test
Question
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown?
Live
Yes
35.5 % chance
No
64.5 % chance
$246.58
11
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 16:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 35.5 %chance
- Yes 35.5¢ · No 64.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
35.5¢
Yes price now
6.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
7
Top holders
- De…teNo155.3
- Dr…NLYes56.5
- Li…shYes38.5
- yo…erYes20
- ti…miYes20
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