Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $5.6K
- $21.0K
- 26
- $42.7K
- $75.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Hakeem Jeffries93.7%
- Katherine Clark3.3%
- Pete Aguilar2.6%
- Mike Johnson0.4%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 22 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 93.7 %
Hakeem Jeffries
$5.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 93.7¢No 6.3¢ - 3.3 %
Katherine Clark
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 2.6 %
Pete Aguilar
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - < 1 %
Mike Johnson
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Jim Jordan
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Steve Scalise
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
22 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Person A
- No quote now
Person AA
- No quote now
Person AB
- No quote now
Person AC
- No quote now
Person AD
- No quote now
Person AE
- No quote now
Person AF
- No quote now
Person B
- No quote now
Person C
- No quote now
Person D
- No quote now
Person E
- No quote now
Person F
- No quote now
Person G
- No quote now
Person H
- No quote now
Person I
- No quote now
Person J
- No quote now
Person K
- No quote now
Person L
- No quote now
Person M
- No quote now
Person N
- No quote now
Person O
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open · 22 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 75
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,097 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 28 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It has been eligible for resolution since Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 9, 2026 03:04 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.