S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 5?
Live
- $13.8K
- $14.0K
- 46
- $10.0K
- $90.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $73581.2%
- $74054.4%
- $74521.3%
- $7507.9%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 81.2 %
$735
$661.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 81.2¢No 18.8¢ - 54.4 %
$740
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 54.4¢No 45.6¢ - 21.3 %
$745
$3.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 21.3¢No 78.7¢ - 7.9 %
$750
$2.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢ - 2.1 %
$755
$2.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - < 1 %
$760
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
$780
$292.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
$770
$320.79 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
$765
$814.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
$785
$79.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 429
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 27,501 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 5?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 5, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 17:25 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.