S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 9?
Live
- $20.7K
- $20.9K
- 61
- $20.1K
- $11.3K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $71099.6%
- $71599.6%
- $72599.6%
- $74099.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$740
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - > 99 %
$725
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - > 99 %
$710
$176.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - > 99 %
$715
$174.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - > 99 %
$730
$959.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - > 99 %
$720
$181.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - > 99 %
$735
$121.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - 98.6 %
$745
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 98.6¢No 1.4¢ - 98.5 %
$750
$11.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢ - 39.5 %
$755
$4.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 439
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 26,333 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 9?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 9, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 9, 2026 20:18 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.