S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 22?
Live
- $11.7K
- $11.7K
- 29
- $12.4K
- $2.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $75097.9%
- $75596.2%
- $74595.5%
- $76089.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 97.9 %
$750
$78.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 97.9¢No 2.1¢ - 96.2 %
$755
$9.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.2¢No 3.8¢ - 95.5 %
$745
$19.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢ - 89.6 %
$760
$158.93 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.6¢No 10.4¢ - 57.0 %
$765
$514.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 23.0 %
$770
$531.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢ - 6.5 %
$775
$204.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 5.5 %
$780
$19.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.1 %
$785
$79.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 2.9 %
$795
$92.82 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 152
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 14,245 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 22?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 22, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 22, 2026 12:17 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.