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Finance · EquitiesSPY Daily Close U/O

Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 22?

Live · started Oct 21 12:00 UTC

Yes
22.5 % chance
No
77.5 % chance
$531.67
14

Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 12:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 22, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 22? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 22.5 %chance
  • Yes 22.5¢ · No 77.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

61.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
22.5¢
Yes price now
38.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
53
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • j…vNo397.7
  • gr…69Yes148.3
  • ye…skYes138.4
  • Lu…omNo69.2
  • ys…bjNo41.3

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 22? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank