S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 28?
Live
- $22.0K
- $22.2K
- 36
- $24.7K
- $10.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $74099.5%
- $74599.5%
- $75099.5%
- $75599.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$740
$76.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - > 99 %
$755
$24.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - > 99 %
$745
$4.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - > 99 %
$750
$4.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - 95.9 %
$760
$4.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 95.9¢No 4.1¢ - 92.5 %
$765
$12.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢ - 63.0 %
$770
$505.46 traded, 24 h
Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢ - 18.0 %
$775
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢ - 1.1 %
$780
$3.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
$790
$45.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 230
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 25,499 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 28?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 28, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 17:38 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.