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Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?

Live · started Oct 27 12:00 UTC

Yes
94.0 % chance
No
6.0 % chance
$17.1K
21

Trading opened Oct 27, 2026 12:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 28, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 28? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 94.0 %chance
  • Yes 94.0¢ · No 6.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

74.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.0¢
Yes price now
19.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
119
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • he…23Yes9,910
  • ko…edYes8,936
  • th…inNo9,200
  • e2…b0No6,845
  • K…YNo2,020

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank