UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16
Live
- $4.8K
- $66.8K
- 50
- $43.2K
- $123.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Paris Saint-Germain99.7%
- Bayern Munich98.3%
- Arsenal97.9%
- Real Madrid97.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
36 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Paris Saint-Germain
$0.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢ - 98.3 %
Bayern Munich
$21.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 98.3¢No 1.7¢ - 97.9 %
Arsenal
Yes 97.9¢No 2.1¢ - 97.5 %
Real Madrid
$0.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢ - 95.7 %
Barcelona
$0.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 95.7¢No 4.3¢ - 92.5 %
Manchester City
Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢ - 83.0 %
Liverpool
$16.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢ - 73.5 %
Aston Villa
$94.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢ - 70.0 %
Como
$368.27 traded, 24 h
Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢ - 68.5 %
Inter Milan
Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢
- 66.5 %
Borussia Dortmund
Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢ - 64.5 %
Atlético Madrid
$536.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢ - 61.0 %
Real Betis
$212.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢ - 55.5 %
Club Brugge
$216.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢ - 54.0 %
Sporting CP
Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢ - 50.5 %
Manchester United
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 42.5 %
Galatasaray
$453.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢ - 38.0 %
Roma
$75.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢ - 37.0 %
VfB Stuttgart
$187.14 traded, 24 h
Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢ - 36.5 %
Porto
$185.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 30.5 %
Napoli
$48.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢ - 29.5 %
Fenerbahçe
$29.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 28.5 %
Villarreal
$335.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢ - 27.0 %
Bodø/Glimt
$296.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢ - 26.0 %
RB Leipzig
$409.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢ - 24.0 %
PSV Eindhoven
$916.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢ - 23.4 %
LASK
$213.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.4¢No 76.6¢ - 19.0 %
Shakhtar Donetsk
$33.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢ - 17.0 %
Feyenoord
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 13.0 %
Lille
Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢ - 11.0 %
Lens
$90.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢ - 10.0 %
AEK Athens
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 9.4 %
Viking
$2.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.4¢No 90.6¢ - 5.3 %
Sabah
$8.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.3¢No 94.7¢ - 3.3 %
Slavia Prague
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - < 1 %
Slovan Bratislava
$0.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Soccer
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 36 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 102
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 11,614 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 36 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Feb 28, 2027 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 20:49 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.