US strikes Iran by...?
Awaiting resolution
- $0.00
- $221.47M
- 0
- —
- $10.6K
Questions in this event
64 settled · 1 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
1 more that never traded
- Settled Yes
December 31
- Settled Yes
February 28
- Settled Yes
June 30
- Settled Yes
March 1
- Settled Yes
March 2
- Settled Yes
March 3
- Settled Yes
March 4
- Settled Yes
March 5
- Settled Yes
March 6
- Settled Yes
March 7
- Settled Yes
March 8
- Settled Yes
March 9
- Settled Yes
March 10
- Settled Yes
March 11
- Settled Yes
March 12
- Settled Yes
March 13
- Settled Yes
March 14
- Settled Yes
March 15
- Settled Yes
March 31
- Settled No
December 31
- Settled No
February 1
- Settled No
February 2
- Settled No
February 3
- Settled No
February 4
- Settled No
February 5
- Settled No
February 6
- Settled No
February 7
- Settled No
February 8
- Settled No
February 9
- Settled No
February 10
- Settled No
February 11
- Settled No
February 12
- Settled No
February 13
- Settled No
February 14
- Settled No
February 15
- Settled No
February 16
- Settled No
February 17
- Settled No
February 18
- Settled No
February 19
- Settled No
February 20
- Settled No
February 21
- Settled No
February 22
- Settled No
February 23
- Settled No
February 24
- Settled No
February 25
- Settled No
February 26
- Settled No
February 27
- Settled No
January 11
- Settled No
January 12
- Settled No
January 13
- Settled No
January 14
- Settled No
January 15
- Settled No
January 16
- Settled No
January 17
- Settled No
January 18
- Settled No
January 23
- Settled No
January 24
- Settled No
January 25
- Settled No
January 26
- Settled No
January 27
- Settled No
January 28
- Settled No
January 29
- Settled No
January 30
- Settled No
January 31
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Middle East
- Series
- US strikes iran
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 64 settled · 1 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 0
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This event has 65 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
64 of the 65 have settled; December 31, February 28, June 30, March 1, March 2, March 3, March 4, March 5, March 6, March 7, March 8, March 9, March 10, March 11, March 12, March 13, March 14, March 15, March 31 settled Yes.
It has been eligible for resolution since Jun 30, 2026 00:00 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.