What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
Live
- $8.4K
- $13.5K
- 56
- $3.4K
- $21.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $458K - $471K28.4%
- $445K - $458K24.0%
- <$445K13.7%
- $471K - $484K13.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
7 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 7 open questions add up to 93.4¢.
- 28.4 %
$458K - $471K
$496.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.4¢No 71.6¢ - 24.0 %
$445K - $458K
$448.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢ - 13.7 %
<$445K
$457.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.7¢No 86.3¢ - 13.5 %
$484K - $497K
$3.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 13.5 %
$471K - $484K
$587.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - < 1 %
$497K - $510K
$2.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
$510K+
$493.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Economy
- Series
- Median Home Price NYC · monthly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 7 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 218
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 11,532 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/58)
This event has 7 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 11, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 16, 2026 13:02 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.