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Finance · EconomyParclMedian Home Price NYC

Question

Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?

Live

Yes
13.6 % chance
No
86.4 % chance
$457.41
20

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 23:13 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 11, 2027 04:59 UTC

What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 13.6 %chance
  • Yes 13.6¢ · No 86.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.6¢
Yes price now
9.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo225.1
  • ex…eeYes545.9
  • Ju…reNo72.7
  • gm…mgNo57.2
  • A…VYes150.7

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Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank