What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?
Live
- $11.4K
- $11.4K
- 133
- $18.5K
- $28.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Russia / Ukraine84.5%
- SI / Super Intelligence81.0%
- Crime / Criminal 10+ times79.0%
- Two Percent / 2%62.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
20 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 84.5 %
Russia / Ukraine
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢ - 81.0 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$603.12 traded, 24 h
Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢ - 79.0 %
Crime / Criminal 10+ times
$668.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢ - 62.5 %
Two Percent / 2%
$474.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢ - 60.0 %
Island
$487.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢ - 57.0 %
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times
$519.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 56.0 %
Transgender 7+ times
$332.19 traded, 24 h
Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢ - 53.0 %
Hell 15+ times
$335.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢ - 52.5 %
Ass
$874.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢ - 52.5 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$473.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢
- 51.0 %
Job 18+ times
$313.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢ - 48.5 %
America First / Gulf of America
$247.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢ - 37.5 %
Veteran
$468.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢ - 36.5 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$581.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 31.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$865.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢ - 28.0 %
Fort Bragg
$97.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.0¢No 72.0¢ - 21.5 %
Granddaughter
$17.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 14.5 %
Data Center
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 3.1 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$438.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - < 1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$340.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 20 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 439
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 25,322 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina on October 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-greenville-north-carolina-president-donald-j-trump-djtnc) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in North Carolina on October 20, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 20 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 20, 2026 23:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 20, 2026 20:45 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.