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Politics · US electionsTrump

Question

Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?

Live · starts 23:00 UTC

Yes
57.5 % chance
No
42.5 % chance
$645.97
23

Trading opened Oct 19, 2026 23:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 23:05 UTC

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? → all 20 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 57.5 %chance
  • Yes 57.5¢ · No 42.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

44.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
57.5¢
Yes price now
13.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • Bi…ssNo367
  • Sl…nyYes230
  • tr…e1Yes163.1
  • su…nyNo115.6
  • Bl…stYes99.1

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Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank