Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live
- $6.2K
- $1.28M
- 17
- $1.01M
- $740.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.
- Democratic65.0%
- Republican34.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
2 open · 13 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $10,000
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 2 open · 13 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 24
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,302 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This event has 15 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 02:27 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.