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Politics · US electionsUS Election

Question

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Live

Yes
34.5 % chance
No
65.5 % chance
$575.71
7

Trading opened Jul 18, 2025 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? → all 15 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 34.5 %chance
  • Yes 34.5¢ · No 65.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

42.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
34.5¢
Yes price now
7.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • no…anNo200,000
  • no…anYes200,000
  • as…fJYes74,997
  • as…fJNo74,997
  • r…oNo50,000

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Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank