Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Live
- $7.0K
- $195.1K
- 27
- $24.6K
- $32.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Kirsten Gillibrand6.5%
- Lisa Blunt Rochester6.0%
- Mike Lee5.8%
- Catherine Cortez Masto4.9%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 6.5 %
Kirsten Gillibrand
$517.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 6.0 %
Lisa Blunt Rochester
$287.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 5.8 %
Mike Lee
$0.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.8¢No 94.2¢ - 4.9 %
Catherine Cortez Masto
$962.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.9¢No 95.1¢ - 4.5 %
Raphael Warnock
$470.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.3 %
Jacky Rosen
$237.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.3 %
John Fetterman
$799.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.0 %
Rand Paul
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.8 %
Alex Padilla
$696.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - 3.6 %
Josh Hawley
$7.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Regulation
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 15 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 63
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,221 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
This event has 15 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 2, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2026 12:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.