Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Live
- $9.5K
- $265.8K
- 22
- $129.9K
- $349.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Donald Brodie19.5%
- Ryan Salame19.5%
- Joe Exotic10.5%
- Steve Bannon8.9%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
28 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 19.5 %
Ryan Salame
$243.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢ - 19.5 %
Donald Brodie
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢ - 10.5 %
Joe Exotic
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 8.9 %
Steve Bannon
Yes 8.9¢No 91.1¢ - 8.0 %
Stefan Brodie
$13.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢ - 7.5 %
Keonne Rodriguez
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 7.0 %
Matt Gaetz
$3.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 6.5 %
Daniel Penny
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 5.8 %
Elon Musk
$402.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.8¢No 94.2¢ - 5.3 %
Roger Ver
Yes 5.3¢No 94.7¢
- 4.9 %
Ghislaine Maxwell
$19.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.9¢No 95.1¢ - 4.8 %
Bob Menendez
Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢ - 4.7 %
Derek Chauvin
$0.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢ - 4.3 %
Young Thug
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.3 %
Diddy
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.1 %
Elizabeth Holmes
$4.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.1¢No 95.9¢ - 4.0 %
Andrew Tate
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.8 %
Julian Assange
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - 3.6 %
Roger Stone
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢ - 3.6 %
Edward Snowden
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢ - 3.5 %
Do Kwon
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
Eric Adams
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.4 %
Sam Bankman-Fried
$90.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 3.3 %
Nicolas Maduro
$1.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 3.0 %
Martin Shkreli
$8.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.9 %
Himself
$0.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢ - 2.8 %
Antoine Massey
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - 2.2 %
Hunter Biden
Yes 2.2¢No 97.8¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 28 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 33
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 10,256 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This event has 28 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 18:08 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.