Politics · TrumpSBF
Question
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Live
Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$90.24
6
Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 15:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.4 %chance
- Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.4¢
Yes price now
4.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
4
Top holders
- el…p2No14,879
- A…nNo7,026
- Mi…neNo5,400
- j…1No2,600
- hi…wsNo2,500
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