Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
Settled
- $1.45M
- Jul 4, 2026
- 27
- $1.10M
- —
Questions in this event
27 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- Settled Yes
Barack Obama
- Settled Yes
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Settled Yes
Candace Owens
- Settled Yes
Jerome Powell
- Settled Yes
Joe Biden
- Settled Yes
Kaitlan Collins
- Settled Yes
Keir Starmer
- Settled Yes
Marjorie Taylor Greene
- Settled Yes
Nicolás Maduro
- Settled Yes
Tucker Carlson
- Settled No
Alex Jones
- Settled No
Elon Musk
- Settled No
Emmanuel Macron
- Settled No
Freidrich Merz
- Settled No
J.D. Vance
- Settled No
Jimmy Kimmel
- Settled No
Kevin Warsh
- Settled No
Megyn Kelly
- Settled No
Melania Trump
- Settled No
Mohammed bin Salman
- Settled No
Norah O'Donnell
- Settled No
Pam Bondi
- Settled No
Pope Leo XIV
- Settled No
Viktor Orbán
- Settled No
Vladimir Putin
- Settled No
Xi Jinping
- Settled No
Zohran Mamdani
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Series
- Who Trump insult · monthly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 27 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 0
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This event has 27 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
27 of the 27 have settled; Barack Obama, Benjamin Netanyahu, Candace Owens, Jerome Powell, Joe Biden, Kaitlan Collins, Keir Starmer, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nicolás Maduro, Tucker Carlson settled Yes.
Volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.