What will gas hit by end of November?
Live
- $5.1K
- $25.1K
- 59
- $11.0K
- $86.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↓ $4.10100.0%
- ↓ $4.0598.5%
- ↓ $4.0098.0%
- ↓ $3.9582.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
13 open · 1 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
↓ $4.10
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - 98.5 %
↓ $4.05
$14.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢ - 98.0 %
↓ $4.00
$74.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢ - 82.5 %
↓ $3.95
$181.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢ - 59.0 %
↓ $3.85
$848.29 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢ - 50.0 %
↓ $3.90
Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢ - 41.5 %
↑ $4.15
$907.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢ - 18.0 %
↑ $4.20
$39.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢ - 17.0 %
↑ $4.25
$221.79 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 8.5 %
↑ $4.35
$1.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢
1 settled
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Commodities
- Series
- US Gas Hit Price Monthly · monthly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 13 open · 1 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 155
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,338 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified month, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.
This event has 14 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
1 of the 14 have settled; ↓ $4.15 settled Yes.
The result is checked against gasprices.aaa.com. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 30, 2026 15:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2026 11:26 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.