What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of November 2 2026?
Live
- $11.0K
- $15.0K
- 37
- $4.6K
- $43.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↓ $73564.1%
- ↓ $73056.8%
- ↑ $79545.5%
- ↓ $72523.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
9 open · 11 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 64.1 %
↓ $735
$941.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 64.1¢No 35.9¢ - 56.8 %
↓ $730
$269.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 56.8¢No 43.2¢ - 45.5 %
↑ $795
$4.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢ - 23.1 %
↓ $725
$162.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.1¢No 76.9¢ - 10.0 %
↑ $790
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 9.0 %
↑ $775
$340.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 7.5 %
↑ $780
$77.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 6.5 %
↑ $770
$67.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 4.5 %
↑ $785
$19.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢
11 settled
- Settled Yes
↓ $745
$6.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
↓ $750
$752.35 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
↓ $765
$678.22 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
↓ $740
$668.29 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
↓ $755
$385.37 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
↓ $760
$366.47 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
↑ $755
- Settled Yes
↑ $760
- Settled Yes
↑ $760
- Settled Yes
↑ $765
- Settled Yes
↓ $755
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Hit Price Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 9 open · 11 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 149
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 13,928 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of November 2 2026?
This event has 20 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
11 of the 20 have settled; ↓ $745, ↓ $750, ↓ $765, ↓ $740, ↓ $755, ↓ $760, ↑ $755, ↑ $760, ↑ $760, ↑ $765, ↓ $755 settled Yes.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 6, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 17:25 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.