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Weather · Earthquakes6.5 Earthquake Weekly

Question

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$359.96
14

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.9 %chance
  • Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
12

Top holders

  • gr…tsNo156
  • 52…ngNo120.1
  • e…3No52
  • So…anNo51.5
  • m…dNo51

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Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank