Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
33.5 % chance
No
66.5 % chance
$26.80
3
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 19:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...? → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 33.5 %chance
- Yes 33.5¢ · No 66.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
64.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.5¢
Yes price now
31.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2
Top holders
- an…ckNo4,119
- Jo…01No2,182
- Re…ntYes1,587
- 5.…olYes1,500
- re…omYes1,160
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