Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz shipping targeted
Question
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 14, 2026?
Live
Yes
65.5 % chance
No
34.5 % chance
$79.67
7
Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 23:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 03:59 UTC
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...? → all 31 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 65.5 %chance
- Yes 65.5¢ · No 34.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
55.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
65.5¢
Yes price now
10.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
2
Top holders
- AnonymousYes126.3
- A…VNo130.2
- Fa…keYes41.6
- po…erNo42.1
- St…alYes21
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