Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Live
Yes
90.5 % chance
No
9.5 % chance
$27.0K
52
Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 13:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 23, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 90.5 %chance
- Yes 90.5¢ · No 9.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
88.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
90.5¢
Yes price now
2.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
65
Smart money
35
Top holders
- Mi…KyYes11,268
- Lo…isYes5,389
- ar…nnYes3,333
- he…0tYes3,068
- me…ldNo9,000
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