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Politics · US elections

Question

Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?

Live

Yes
1.8 % chance
No
98.2 % chance
$362.76
17

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.8 %chance
  • Yes 1.8¢ · No 98.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.8¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
12

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo74.6
  • Vi…axNo70
  • pl…erNo60
  • a…zNo40
  • Wo…ntNo22.9

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Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank