Politics · US electionsmidterm
Question
Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?
Live
Yes
94.5 % chance
No
5.5 % chance
$1.9K
29
Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 22:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 08:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 94.5 %chance
- Yes 94.5¢ · No 5.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
78.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.5¢
Yes price now
16.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
54
Smart money
23
Top holders
- be…inYes475.7
- om…deYes390.8
- co…ksNo633.8
- Re…ceYes270
- tr…e1No240
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