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Politics · GeopoliticsStarmerNext leader out

Question

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Live

Yes
1.0 % chance
No
99.0 % chance
$697.51
16

Trading opened Jul 1, 2026 02:18 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Next leader out of power before 2027? → all 22 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.0 %chance
  • Yes 1.0¢ · No 99.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.0¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
48
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • Bi…ggNo1,847
  • Vi…axNo1,436
  • do…meNo1,214
  • Ka…85Yes7,025
  • Ho…ssNo874.6

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