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Politics · Trump

Question

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
46.0 % chance
No
54.0 % chance
$0.95
2

Trading opened Apr 21, 2026 19:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year? → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 46.0 %chance
  • Yes 46.0¢ · No 54.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
46.0¢
Yes price now
35.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Ad…stNo27
  • xt…meYes61.5
  • a…zNo12.2
  • ga…75Yes40
  • D…LNo9.9

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Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank