Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$190.75
11
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.6 %chance
- Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.6¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
8
Top holders
- a…zNo48.3
- pl…erNo30
- So…erNo16.7
- In…nsNo16.7
- ba…hrYes73.2
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