Politics · US electionsmidterm
Question
Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?
Live
Yes
94.5 % chance
No
5.5 % chance
$1.4K
20
Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 22:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 05:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 94.5 %chance
- Yes 94.5¢ · No 5.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
64.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.5¢
Yes price now
30.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
35
Smart money
17
Top holders
- Ai…rdNo420
- Ci…stYes241.5
- Co…arYes130
- be…inYes107
- xt…meNo143.3
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…