Politics · US electionsUnited States
Question
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC
Yes
2.4 % chance
No
97.6 % chance
$2.9K
8
Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.4 %chance
- Yes 2.4¢ · No 97.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.4¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
70
Smart money
5
Top holders
- be…inYes608,714
- Ch…arYes375,000
- 1…2Yes344,436
- if…meYes181,858
- Te…29Yes202,766
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