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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy

Question

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?

Live

Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$1.2K
8

Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? → all 21 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.1 %chance
  • Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
8.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • DE…ANNo1,976
  • Im…enNo1,555
  • Jo…maYes2,409
  • Th…alYes731.3
  • El…llNo226.9

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank