What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Live
- $14.1K
- $889.3K
- 45
- $120.0K
- $329.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↑ 4.25%73.5%
- ↓ 0.5%40.1%
- ↓ 1.25%28.8%
- ↓ 2.75%8.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
20 open · 1 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 73.5 %
↑ 4.25%
$648.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢ - 40.1 %
↓ 0.5%
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 40.1¢No 59.9¢ - 28.8 %
↓ 1.25%
$202.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.8¢No 71.2¢ - 8.1 %
↓ 2.75%
$4.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 8.1¢No 91.9¢ - 7.5 %
↓ 0%
$0.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 7.4 %
↑ 4.75%
$462.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.4¢No 92.6¢ - 7.3 %
↓ 3.0%
$683.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.3¢No 92.7¢ - 4.2 %
↓ 3.25%
$4.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.2¢No 95.8¢ - 3.0 %
↓ 0.25%
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.9 %
↓ 1.5%
$1.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢
- 2.4 %
↑ 5.0%
$330.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢ - 2.3 %
↓ 1.0%
$1.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 2.3 %
↑ 5.5%
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 2.3 %
↓ 0.75%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 2.1 %
↓ 2.25%
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 2.1 %
↑ 5.25%
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 1.8 %
↑ 4.5%
$30.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢ - 1.8 %
↓ 2.0%
$86.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢ - 1.4 %
↓ 1.75%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢ - 1.1 %
↓ 2.5%
$3.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢
1 settled
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Central banks & rates
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 20 open · 1 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 97
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 16,686 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This event has 21 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
1 of the 21 have settled; ↓ 3.5% settled Yes.
It can settle from Dec 31, 2026 17:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 19:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.