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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy

Question

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?

Live

Yes
9.9 % chance
No
90.1 % chance
$202.04
7

Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? → all 21 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 9.9 %chance
  • Yes 9.9¢ · No 90.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.3¢
Yes price now
2.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • hg…onNo367.1
  • de…hyNo188.7
  • xi…09No72
  • No…erNo70
  • ci…00No30.1

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank