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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy

Question

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Live

Yes
4.2 % chance
No
95.8 % chance
$4.15
3

Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? → all 21 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.2 %chance
  • Yes 4.2¢ · No 95.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

56.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.2¢
Yes price now
52.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • wh…paYes2,480
  • Th…ulYes1,915
  • f…6No2,352
  • Ai…eyYes1,677
  • Ai…eyNo1,677

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank