Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy
Question
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Live
Yes
38.6 % chance
No
61.4 % chance
$1.2K
11
Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 38.6 %chance
- Yes 38.6¢ · No 61.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
39.2¢
Yes price now
33.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
8
Top holders
- N…iNo1,530
- Sk…izNo892.3
- Vo…25No861
- hi…16No859
- Mo…erYes1,874
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