Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy
Question
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Live
Yes
73.5 % chance
No
26.5 % chance
$648.00
8
Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 73.5 %chance
- Yes 73.5¢ · No 26.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
42.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
73.5¢
Yes price now
31.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
6
Top holders
- Al…sVNo6,998
- ga…25Yes5,775
- K…KNo4,000
- pu…daYes3,099
- ra…esYes3,467
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