Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy
Question
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Live
Yes
1.8 % chance
No
98.2 % chance
$22.35
3
Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.8 %chance
- Yes 1.8¢ · No 98.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.8¢
Yes price now
8.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
2
Top holders
- C…1No582.8
- Pe…67No421.1
- Se…ueNo300.9
- Al…sVYes1,115
- Bi…stNo146
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