Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy
Question
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
Live
Yes
2.3 % chance
No
97.7 % chance
$1.44
2
Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.3 %chance
- Yes 2.3¢ · No 97.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.3¢
Yes price now
2.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1
Top holders
- Pe…67No533.1
- th…34No114.5
- AnonymousYes302.6
- de…hyNo73.5
- xt…meYes205.9
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