Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy
Question
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
Live
Yes
21.1 % chance
No
78.9 % chance
$98.83
5
Trading opened Nov 18, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 21.1 %chance
- Yes 21.1¢ · No 78.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.8¢
Yes price now
14.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Sk…izNo934.9
- ak…odNo500
- Gr…etNo264
- xi…09No255
- Bi…stNo163.7
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