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Weather · ClimateSNOW

Question

Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?

Live

Yes
45.0 % chance
No
55.0 % chance
$71.00
4

Trading opened Sep 2, 2026 20:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 19, 2026 04:59 UTC

First snow of the 2026 season → all 31 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 45.0 %chance
  • Yes 45.0¢ · No 55.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

68.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
45.0¢
Yes price now
23.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • Ma…ecNo399
  • Dr…NLYes232.1
  • Vi…caYes150.9
  • xt…meYes110.2
  • br…stYes79.3

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Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank