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Politics · Global electionsTaiwan

Question

Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

Live

Yes
72.5 % chance
No
27.5 % chance
$3.5K
20

Trading opened Aug 14, 2026 12:54 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 29, 2026 04:59 UTC

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner → all 31 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 72.5 %chance
  • Yes 72.5¢ · No 27.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

55.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
72.5¢
Yes price now
17.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
14

Top holders

  • to…64Yes4,668
  • Ar…lyNo1,939
  • NV…AAYes2,309
  • gm…mgNo969.3
  • do…meNo782.8

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Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank